Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 3.279805 3.635994 4.021841 4.472038 4.984352 5.550895 6.227134
2025-06-08 2.737846 3.208967 3.754907 4.438646 5.278093 6.282846 7.588172
2025-06-15 2.482529 3.032672 3.703301 4.590121 5.745710 7.219615 9.272972
2025-06-22 2.229700 2.811736 3.549600 4.567968 5.959768 7.829384 10.590158
2025-06-29 2.023918 2.620281 3.401417 4.519182 6.110537 8.346873 11.824122
2025-07-06 1.794646 2.372098 3.148290 4.291588 5.974075 8.427688 12.410627
2025-07-13 1.682765 2.271037 3.082713 4.314103 6.189149 9.031355 13.860398
2025-07-20 1.604585 2.208491 3.062640 4.395599 6.493440 9.796024 15.667523
2025-07-27 1.539639 2.158254 3.053735 4.489005 6.820186 10.626758 17.701842
2025-08-03 1.473005 2.099455 3.025659 4.547074 7.091558 11.391551 19.729388
2025-08-10 1.405804 2.034253 2.981567 4.573291 7.308841 12.083374 21.722608
2025-08-17 1.308216 1.915790 2.845769 4.436814 7.231639 12.238921 22.688285
2025-08-24 1.234814 1.831873 2.761108 4.382589 7.300375 12.682288 24.339621
2025-08-31 1.173267 1.762818 2.695527 4.355215 7.414463 13.225086 26.298089
2025-09-07 1.151488 1.755745 2.730116 4.504104 7.868243 14.485204 30.071764
2025-09-14 1.099660 1.696148 2.672498 4.482582 7.993780 15.097068 32.468054
2025-09-21 1.047471 1.632751 2.603988 4.434912 8.061963 15.595453 34.684163
2025-09-28 0.969775 1.522368 2.447873 4.212397 7.758228 15.257061 34.730112
2025-10-05 0.937881 1.488030 2.422356 4.234412 7.955851 16.046744 37.871419
2025-10-12 0.917104 1.471481 2.426964 4.314095 8.281213 17.168258 42.160678
2025-10-19 0.899175 1.458751 2.437341 4.405414 8.640510 18.419299 47.119570
2025-10-26 0.877243 1.437657 2.430915 4.462181 8.929373 19.541376 51.979618
2025-11-02 0.852320 1.409836 2.410185 4.487810 9.150301 20.525403 56.665598